SOCIAL AND ECONOMIC SITUATION, 9 MONTHS OF 2012

+ Gross Domestic Products, 9 months of 2012

Agriculture, forestry and fishery

The production value of this sector at 1994 constant prices in 9 months of this year was estimated to reach 173.7 trillion dongs and rose 3.7% from the same period last year, of which agriculture gained 120.3 trillion dongs and rose 2.9%; forestry 5.9 trillion dongs and by 6.2%; fishery 47.5 trillion dongs and by 5.3%.

Agriculture

As of mid-September, the country had 1,716,800 ha of winter-rice cultivated, equaling 100.6% from last year‘ same period, of which provinces in the North achieved 1,184,600 ha, equaling 99.4%; provinces in the South achieved 532,300 ha, equaling103.6%.

Together with this, provinces over the country were getting to harvest the summer-autumn rice crop. As of 15/9/2012, provinces in the South harvested 1,697,000 ha of summer rice, equaling 101.6% against last year‘ same period and accounted for 84.4% of cultivated area. According to preliminary reports, this year’s summer rice productivity was estimated to reach 5,200 kg/ha, rose 40 kg/ha against last year; the yield was estimated to reach 13.8 million tons, rose 2.9% from last year’s same crop.

The output of perennial trees continued to increase as alot of cultivated area was under productive period. The output of rubber in 2012 was estimated to reach 858,100 tons and rose 8.7% from last year; coffee 1,291,100 tons and by 1.1%; tea 897,500 tons and by 2.1%; cashew nut 317,500 tons and by 2.7%; pepper 112,700 tons and by 0.6%; coco nut 1,237,000 tons and by 3%.

As of mid-September, buffalos declined 5% from the same period in 2011; oxen by 6.5%; pigs and poultry were at the same levels as last year same period. The output of buffalo live-weight meat was at the same level as last year same period; live-weight beef rose1.5%; live-weight  pork by 2.6%; and live-weight poltry meat by 7%.

+ Production value of agriculture, forestry & fishery at 1994 constant prices
+ Agricultural production as of Seprember15, 2012

Forestry

Nine months’ concentrated planted area was at an estimation of 123,500 ha, equaling 95.2% against the same period in 2011; decentralized planted trees were 164.1 million, rose 0.3%; area under cultivation was 411,000 ha, rose 1.3%; area under regeneration was 932,000 ha, at the same level as 2011’ same period; area under protection: 2,302,000 ha, reduced 2%; exploited wood production  reached 3,418,500 m3, rose 11.5%. Damaged area was 3,011 ha, rose 50.8% from the same period last year, of which fired area was 2,065 ha, doubling that in last year’ same period; destroyed area was 946 ha.

Fishery

Nine months’ total estimated fishing production was at an estimation of 4,337,000 tons, rose 5.6% from the same period in 2011, of which there were 3,226, 000 tons of fish, rose 5.2%; and 509,000 tons of shrimp, rose 4.4%. Aquaculture production was at an estimation of 2,328,000 tons, rose 6.5% from last year’ same period, of which there were 1,731,000 tons of fish, rose 6.2%; and 390,000 tons of shrimp, rose 4.5%. Catching production reached 2,009,000 tons, rose 4.6% from the same period last year, of which sea catching gained 1,869,000 tons, rose 5.3%.

+ Fishing production

Industry

September’s Industrial Production Index (IPI) rose 4.6% from August and by 9.7% against the same period last year, a rather high growth since the beginning of this year. Generally, IPI for the whole industrial sector in 9 months rose 4.8% from last year’ same period of which IPI of mining and quarrying rose 4%, contributed 0.8 point percent; manufacturing by 4.2%, contributed 3 points percent; power and gas by 12.8%, contributed  0.9 point percent; water supply and waste management by 8.4%, contributed 0.1 point percent to the general pace.

The consumption index for the manufacturing in 8 months of this year rose 6.4% from last year’ same period. The stock index as of 01/9/2012 for the whole manufacturing sector rose 20.4% from last year’ same period.

Following was the change in the labor force for the industrial sector in September compared to that in August for selected number of large scale industrial provinces/cities: Bac Ninh rose 2.9%; Dong Nai by 1.3%; HCM City by 0.8%; Binh Duong by 0.6%; Hai Duong by 0.4%; Hai Phong by 0.2%; Can Tho by 0.2%; Ba Ria -Vung Tau by 0.1%; Vinh Phuc decreased by 2.7%, Da Nang by 0,2% and Ha Noi by 0.2%.

+ Industrial production index
+ Main industrial products

Service

Total retailed sales of consumer goods and services

September’s total retailed sales of consumer goods and services rose 2.3% from August and by 12.8% against last year’ same period. Nine months’ total retailed sales of consumer goods and services were estimated to increase by 17.3% against last year’ same period, if the price factor were excluded, it would be 6.7%. Of which the trade business rose 16.5%; the hotel and restaurant  by 19.1%; the service by 20.3%; the tourist by 30.9%.

+ Total retail sales of consumer goods and services

Carriage of passengers and cargos

Nine months’ passenger carriage was estimated to rise 12.1% by passengers carried and 9.8% by passengers-kilometers carried from the same period in 2011. Of which land transport was estimated to rise 13.2% by passengers carried and 11.1% by passengers-kilometers carried; river transport reduced 2.1% and 2.5%; air transport rose 1.4% and 8.9%; rail transport rose 2% and 0.6% respectively; sea transport reduced 0.3% by passengers carried and rose 1.3% by passengers-kilometers carried.

Nine months’ cargo carriage was estimated to increase 9.2% by tons carried and decreased 11.8% by tons-kilometers carried from last year’ same period, of which the domestic transport rose 10.5% by tons carried and 1.4% by tons-kilometers carried; the overseas transport reduced 15.8% and 19.7% respectively. Land transport rose 11.5% and 9.2%; river transport rose 6% and 5.3%; sea transport reduced 16% and 21%; rail transport reduced 5.5% and 4.3% respectively.

+ Carriage of passengers & cargo

Postal and communicational services

Nine months’ new telephone subscribers reached over 8.8 million, rose 10% from the same period in 2011, including 16,200 desk telephone subscribers, equaling 37.4% from the same period last year and 8,802,200 mobile phone subscribers, rose 10.4%. The number of telephone subscribers over the country as end of September 2012 was at an estimation of 135.9 million, rose 4.3% from last year’ same period, including 15 million desk telephone subscribers, reduced 3.1% and 120.9 million mobile phone subscribers, rose 5.2%.

The number of broadband internet subscribers as of end of September 2012 was at an estimation 4.4 million, rose 13.9% from the same period last year. Nine months’ total postal and communicational service net income was at an estimation of 122.9 trillion dongs rose 7.6% from the same period in 2011.

International visitors to Viet Nam

International visitors to Viet Nam in 9 months were at an estimation of 4,853,200 arrivals, rose 13% from the same period last year. Of which, visitors coming for tourist purposes were 2,877,000 arrivals, rose 10.5%; for business purposes 852,400 arrival, by 19%; for visiting relatives 853,500 arrival, by 18.2%.

In 9 months of this year, visitors from China reached 992,000 arrivals, rose 1.3%; Republic of Korea 526,500 arrivals, by 38.2%; Japan 428,100 arrivals, by 24.5%; the United States 338,800 arrivals, by 3%; Taiwan 317,500 arrivals, by 19.4%; Australia 212,200 arrivals, by 0.8%; Malaysia 210,800 arrivals, by 25.4%; France 169,000 arrivals, by 8.1%; Thailand 158,500 arrivals, by 23.4%.

+ International visitors to Vietnam

STABILISE MACROECONOMY AND CURB INFLATION

Construction, investment development

Construction

Nine months’ construction production value at current prices was at an estimation of 488.7 trillion dongs, of which the state sector reached 75.8 trillion dongs, represented 15.5%; the non-state sector 396 trillion dongs, accounted for 81%; the FDI sector 16.9 trillion dongs, accounted for 3.5%. Nine months’ construction production value at 1994 constant prices was at an estimation of 159.2 trillion dongs, rose 2.6% from the same period last year, of which the state sector reached 24.7 trillion dongs, declined 2.2%; the non-state sector 129.1 trillion dongs, rose 3.7%; the FDI sector 5.4 trillion dongs, rose 0.7%.

Investment development

Nine months’ realized social investment capital at current prices was at an estimation of 708.6 trillion dongs, rose 8.6% from the same period last year and equaled 35.8% of GDP Of which state capital was 263.6 trillion dongs, accounted for 37.2% of the total capital and rose 10.4% from last year’ same period; the non-state sector 275 trillion dongs, accounted for 38.8% and rose 11.8%; the FDI sector 170 trillion dongs, accounted for 24% and rose 1.6% respectively.

Of the state sector’s investment capital, fund from the state budget in 9 months was estimated to reach 142.2 trillion dongs, equaled 68.5% of the yearly estimate and rose 7.6% against the same period in 2011. Of which, capital under central management was 36.1 trillion dongs, equaled 70.9% of the yearly estimate and rose 6.7% from the same period last year; capital under local management 106.1 trillion dongs, 67.7% and by 7.9% respectively.

Attracted FDI from beginning of the year to 20/9/2012 reached 9.526.4 million USD, equaling 72.1% against last year’ same period. Of which, the registered capital of 775 newly licensed projects was 6,108.4 million USD, equaling 82.6% of licensed projects and 61% of the registered capital against the same period in 2011; additional registered capital of 314 times of projects licensed from previous years was 3,418 million USD. Nine months’ realized FDI was at an estimation of 8.1 billion USD, reduced 1.2% from the same period in 2011. Nine months’ FDI in the manufacturing, real estate business and others was 6,243.9 million USD; 1,806 million USD and 1,476.5 million USD respectively.

+ Realized development investments under State Budget
+ Licensed FDI projects, 01/01- 20/9/2012

Government revenues and expenditures

Total Government revenues from the beginning of the year to 15/9/2012 were at an estimation of 468.6 trillion dongs, equaling 63.3% of the yearly estimate, of which domestic revenues reached 299.1 trillion dongs, equaling 60.5%; from crude oil 79.8 trillion dongs, equaling 91.7%; from export-import balance 84.4 trillion dongs, equaling 54.8%. Of the domestic revenues, collecting from state enterprises was 97.8 trillion dongs, equaling 62.9% of the yearly estimate; from FDI enterprises (excluding crude oil) 54.9 trillion dongs, equaling 56.2%; from non-state industrial, commercial and service taxes 61.3 trillion dongs, equaling 55.1%; from individual income tax 33.3 trillion dongs, equaling 71.8%; from environment protection tax 8.7 trillion dongs, equaling 66.2%; from other fees 6.2 trillion dongs, equaling 68.8%.

Total Government expenditures from the beginning of the year to 15/9/2012 were at an estimation of 606.3 trillion dongs, equaling 67.1% of the yearly estimate, of which spending for investment development reached 118.5 trillion dongs, equaling 65.8% (only spending for capital construction was 114.2 trillion dongs, equaling 65.6%); spending for economic and social development, national defense and security (including spending for salary rise) was at an estimation of 417.4 trillion dongs, equaling 69.4%; paying debts and aids was 70.5 trillion dongs, equaling 70.5%.

Exports

September’s export turnovers were at an estimation of 9.7 billion USD, reduced 5.9% from August and rose 18.2% from the same period in 2011. Generally, export turnovers in 9 months of this year reached 83.8 billion USD, rose 18.9% from the same period last year, of which the domestic economic sector gained 31.3 billion USD, declined 0.6%; and the FDI sector (including crude oil) reached 52.5 billion USD, rose 34.6%.

About markets for exportation in 9 months of this year, the United States was the largest one with 14.7 billion USD, rose 17.7% from the same period last year. Next came to EU with 14.4 billion USD and rose 23.5%; ASEAN with 12.4 billion USD and by 26.1%; Japan 9.7 billion USD and by 28.8%; China 9.4 billion USD and by 20.5%; Republic of Korea 3.9 billion USD and by 11.5%.

+ Exports

Imports

September’s import turnovers were at an estimation of 9.8 billion USD, reduced 4.5% from August and rose 0.2 % from the same period last year. Generally, import turnovers in 9 months of this year reached 83.7 billion USD and rose 6.6% from the same period in 2011, of which the domestic economic sector gained 39.8 billion USD, much decreased at a rate of 8.2%; the FDI sector reached 43.9 billion USD, rose 24.8%. If the factor of price rise were excluded, nine months import turnovers rose 5.9% from the same period last year.

About markets for importation, China was still the largest one with 20.7 billion USD, rose17.1% from last year’ same period; ASEAN 15.3 billion USD, reduced 2.5%; Republic of Korea 11.3 billion USD, rose 19.5%; Japan 8.7 billion USD, rose 15.7%; EU 6.9 billion USD, rose 21.9%; the United States 3.7 billion USD, rose 11.8%.

September’s trade deficit was at an estimation of 100 million USD, equaling 1% of the export turnovers. In 9 months of 2012, trade surplus was estimated to reach 34 million USD. The trade surplus mainly came from the FDI sector. The domestic economic sector continued making imports in excess of exports with declined turnovers in both exports and imports against the same period last year. This indicated that this sector still faced with difficulties in producing and searching for markets to consume produced goods.

+ Imports

Price indexes

Consumer price indexes (CPI)

September’s CPI rose 2.2% from August. Medicine and medical service rose by 17.02% (medical service only by 23.87%); education by 10.54% (educational service only by 12.16%). Other groups of goods and services with lower CPI pace were transport by 3.83%; housing and construction material by 2.18%; garments, hats and footgear by 0.46%; culture, entertainment and tourist by 0.33%; family appliances by 0.31%; drinks and tobacco by 0.14%; catering and related service by 0.08% (grain food rose by 0.35%; foodstuff decreased by 0.07%; outdoor eating and drinking rose 0.27%); postal and communicational service by 0.01%.

The impact of price rise in some groups of goods and services on the increase in September’s CPI was as follows: medicine and medical service made CPI increase by 0.94%; education by 0.6%; transport by 0.34%, of which petroleum price rise in September by 7.94% resulted in cost increase in some public transport services by1.82%; housing and construction material by 0.22%. Of the  2.2% pace of CPI in September against August, the four above groups made CPI increase by 2.1%.

CPI in September 2012 rose 5.13% against 12/2011 and by 6.48% against the same period last year. On average, in nine months of 2012 CPI increased by 9.96% over the same period in 2011.

+ Consumer price indexes, gold & USD price indexes, September 2012

Producer price indexes (PPI)  

In 9 months of 2012, PPI for agricultural, forest and fishing products rose 7.77% from last year’ same period, of which PPI in 3rd Quarter decreased by 3.73%. PPI for industrial products rose 10.85% from the same period last year, of which PPI in 3rd Quarter increased by 5.91%. Raw materials price indexes (RMPI) for domestic production rose 10.72% from the same period last year, of which it increased by 4.86% in 3rd Quarter. Transport charge indexes (TCI) rose 14.02% from the same period last year, of which it increased by 9.91% in 3rd Quarter.

Export-Import Price Indexes (EIPI)

Export price index in nine months of 2012 declined 0.3% from the same period last year, of which  it in 3rd Quarter decreased by 3.25% over 2nd Quarter and by 1.79% over the same period in 2011. Import price index in nine months of 2012 rose 0.66% from the same period last year, of which  it in 3rd Quarter decreased by 2.53% over 2nd Quarter and by 4.08% over the same period in 2011.

SOCIAL ISSUES

Labor and employment

The country’s labor forces aged 15 and above in 2012 were at an estimation of 52.6 million, rose 1.2 million compared to the labor forces at period 1/7/2011, of which men accounted for 51.3%; women accounted for 48.7%. Laborers within the labor working age group were 46.9 million, rose 0.4 million, of which men accounted for 53.3%; women accounted for 46.7%. Laborers aged 15 and above working in the economy in 2012 were at an estimation of 51.7 million, rose 1.3 million over 2011, of which laborers working in the sector of agriculture, forestry and fishery were 24.9 million, accounted for 48.2% of the total and rose 2.3% from 2011; 10.7 million laborers in the sector of industry and construction, accounted for 20.7% and decreased by 0.2%; 16.1 million laborers in the sector of service, accounted for 31.1% and rose by 5.3%. Unemployment rate of laborers within the labor age group in 9 months of 2012 was 2.17%, of which it was 3.53% for urban area and 1.55% for rural area. Under-employment rate of laborers within the labor age group was 2.98%, of which it was 1.83% for urban area and 3.49% for rural area.

Food shortage

In September the country had 14,900 hunger families, represented 0.13% of total agricultural households, reduced by 21.8% over the same period last year. Hunger persons in the month were 68,100, represented 0.14% of total agricultural members, reduced by 23.9%. Generally, the country in nine months of this year had 401,400 times of households suffered from food shortage, reduced by 30.7% against the same period in 2011; 1,696,200 times of hunger persons, reduced by 30.1%.

Education and training

According to preliminary reports on the results of the 2011-12 high-school final exams, the passed rate was 98.97%, increasing 3.25 points percent against school-year of 2010-11. At the opening of school-year of 2012-13, there were 19.2 million students going to school, including 4.1 million kindergarten children; 7.3 million primary-school students; nearly 5 million secondary-school students and 2.8 million high-school students.

Up to present, the country had 59 per 63 provinces and cities over the country met standard for compulsory primary education within right age group. In the school year of 2011-12, more 402 kindergartens, 445 primary schools, 493 secondary schools and 86 high schools were recognized as meeting national standard, bringing national standard met schools to 13,084, including: 2,828 kindergartens, representing 21.5% of total kindergartens; 7,130 primary schools, accounted for 46.5% of total primary schools, of which 522 school meeting level 2 standard; 2,748 secondary schools, accounted for 26.8% total secondary schools and  378 high schools, accounted for 16.1% of total high schools.

Since the beginning of the year, there have been more 12 occupational colleges, 2 occupational secondary schools and 10 occupational training centers. Generally, public occupational establishments still prevailed over private ones. As and of August 2012, the country had 148 occupational colleges, 312 occupational secondary schools, 850 occupational training centers and over 1,300 occupational establishments. 42 occupational establishments were built in poor districts according to the Government’s Resolution No. 30a/2008/NQ-CP.

Epidemic diseases

In nine months of 2012, the country had 51,300 cases of hemorrhagic fever (42 died); 554 cases of virus encephalitis (15 died); 124 cases of meningococcal disease  (5 died); 440 cases of typhoid and 93,100 cases of hand, foot, mouth disease (41 died).

In September more 714 HIV-infected cases were found. The number of HIV/AIDS infected persons found in provinces over the country from the first case to mid-September 2012 were 259,400, of which 106,200 turned to AIDS and 53,700 died of AIDS.

Sports

In the Asian Students’ Sporting Festival held in Indonesia, the Vietnamese Team took rather high achievement, stayed in 4th rank with 27 gold medals, 17 silver medals and 16 bronze medals. In Paralympic London 2012, the Vietnamese Team with 11 sport persons showed their great efforts in participating in 3 sporting games.

In international sporting competitions, the Vietnamese Team achieved 190 gold medals; 161 silver medals and 97 bronze medals. In 3rd Asia Beach Sporting Festival held in China, the Vietnamese Team achieved 2 silver medals for sepatakraw game and 1 bronze medal for women handball game, stood in 10th rank among 45 countries and territories participating in the Festival. In Olympic London 2012, 18 sport men from Vietnam were officially approved to take part in and the whole Vietnamese Team showed their high determination in the international arena. Notably, the Vietnamese Women Football Team won the championship in the AFF Cup held at end of September 2012.

Traffic accidents

In nine months of this year, the country had 7,827 cases of traffic accident, killing 6,896 persons and injuring 5,596 others. Compared to the same period in 2011, cases of traffic accident decreased by 21.7%, the death by 18.1% and the injured by 26.7%. On average, the country in each day of nine months of this year had 29 cases of traffic accident, killing 25 persons and injuring 20 others.

Natural calamity

In nine months of 2012, natural calamity made 229 persons died and gone missing, 355 persons injured; over 2,200 houses collapsed and swept away; 53,700 houses damaged, roofs blown away; nearly 38,700 ha of rice and 8,500 ha of vegetables suffered from empty loss; 144,800 ha of rice and 29,600 ha of vegetables flooded and damaged. Total damage caused by natural calamity in nine months of this year was estimated at 3.2 trillion dongs. According to preliminary reports, total aids in cash to impacted provinces in 9 months of 2012 were over 7.8 billion dongs.

GENERAL STATISTICS OFFICE